As the Northern Province (NP) of Sri Lanka braces for a severe weather crisis from 21 to 30 November 2024, immediate and collective action is essential.
A developing tropical system in the Bay of Bengal is set to bring heavy rainfall, strong winds, and coastal flooding, threatening lives, infrastructure, and the environment.
The Chief Secretary’s Secretariat has issued crucial warnings, urging all sectors of society to prepare for the impending storm.
The weather conditions are alarming. With sea surface temperatures between 29°C and 30°C, coupled with the Madden-Julian Oscillation, the stage is set for extreme weather.
Daily rainfall totals are predicted to reach between 150 and 250 mm, with coastal areas facing wind speeds of 40-60 km/h and gusts up to 80 km/h.
Storm surges of up to one meter could inundate areas like Jaffna and Mannar, increasing the risk of coastal flooding. The Kalmadu and Periyamadu Tanks, both near full capacity, are particularly vulnerable to overflowing, raising concerns over potential flooding in the region.
Infrastructure is at significant risk, with tank monitoring data showing that many reservoirs are close to their limits.
The combination of heavy rainfall and high water levels in critical areas such as Iranamadu and Kanakarayan Kulam poses a real threat of flooding.
Immediate action, preparedness, and international support are essential to mitigate severe weather impacts.In addition, landslides in hilly areas like Badulla could disrupt transportation and block emergency response routes, further exacerbating the crisis.
Coastal communities, often lacking the resources to evacuate swiftly, are especially vulnerable. Past experiences have shown the devastating social and economic toll of such events.
In response, the Chief Secretary’s Secretariat has outlined a comprehensive action plan that includes pre-positioning emergency resources and ensuring rapid deployment of essential services.
Public engagement is crucial, with awareness campaigns urging residents to secure loose items, assemble emergency kits, and evacuate when necessary. These measures can save lives.
The looming crisis also highlights the urgent need for long-term climate resilience in Sri Lanka.
Investments in infrastructure such as better drainage systems, stronger embankments, and enhanced early warning systems are necessary to withstand the increasing frequency and severity of such weather events.
Collaboration with international partners for technological advancements in weather monitoring and disaster management is also crucial for strengthening local capabilities.
In the coming days, the resilience of the Northern Province will be tested. The actions taken now, by both authorities and the public, will determine the severity of the impacts and the region’s ability to recover.